The Big East tournament gets underway at Madison Square Garden in New York City on Wednesday. Two old rivals meet in the first round. Butler and Xavier will match up for the third time this season on Wednesday night in NYC. Butler is the tenth seed in this year's conference tournament while the Musketeers are the number 7 seed in the tournament.
The series between Butler and Xavier this season has been controlled by the Musketeers. Xavier won the first two matchups by double digits. Winning at Butler on January 30th by a score of 68-55 and then nearly a month later in Cincinnati on February 21st by a final of 63-51. Xavier has had the advantage over Butler this season on both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball. Xavier outplayed the Bulldogs no question. All of that goes out the window on Wednesday night. Winner of this game will advance to the 2nd round of the Big East Tournament and face number 2 seed Creighton on Thursday night. For Butler, a loss means the end of the season. For Xavier, a loss means their NCAA Tournament hopes are in serious jeopardy.
Butler is looking to try to find some kind of positive note in what has been a very disappointing season. Away from Hinkle Fieldhouse this year, Butler is 1-10 overall. Not good at all. Another bad issue is the fact that Butler is 1-6 all time in the Big East Tournament and 0-2 all time in the conference tournament vs Xavier. These numbers don't add up very favorably for Butler. The Dawgs are looking to reverse those fortunes and find a way to get some mojo going in the Big East Tournament. Knocking out their arch rival in the opening round would definitely be a bright spot for these young Bulldogs. Butler is hoping to just be as healthy as possible for Wednesday night. Several key players are game time decisions. Seniors Bo Hodges and Bryce Nze are questionable to play. Should they be good to go, Butler has a fighters chance. If they be unable to play, Butler then has a major uphill battle in hopes of a victory.
Key for the Bulldogs will be to control the tempo of the game. Play at their pace and look for good shots. Butler plays at one of the slowest paces in college basketball. Watch for the Bulldogs to get Chuck Harris going early. The Freshman guard had been on a tear as of late, averaging 19.5 points per game in his last 6 games including a 29 point game last Saturday vs Creighton. He will need to have another big game on Wednesday evening for Butler to come out with a win. Defensively Butler will need to find a way to force Xavier into double teams in the paint on forwards Zach Fremantle and Jason Carter and make Xavier shoot from the outside, especially if Butler is limited in case that Bryce Nze is unable to play. If Nze is unable to play, Butler's interior defense will be much more vulnerable. Butler will have to implement a zone to try and make Xavier shoot from the outside.
Xavier will want to force Butler's hand early. Push the tempo, make the Bulldogs get out and run in the open floor where they are uncomfortable. Speeding up the pace on offense gets Butler out of position on defense and from there Xavier can take advantage with drives to the paint from Fremantle or Carter. If that happens then look out for senior Paul Scruggs on the wing for kick outs and he could do damage from the outside. The Indianapolis native dominated Butler back on January 30th, scoring 24 points. On defense, Xavier will have to force Butler into double teams on the perimeter to get Butler out of their offensive rhythm to create turnovers. If Xavier can get out to an early lead and push the tempo on both sides of the ball, they should be able to win this game.
Butler is looking to avenge their two previous losses against Xavier this season. The Musketeers are looking to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes afloat. Round three of Butler and Xavier happens on Wednesday evening at Madison Square Garden. March has finally arrived. Now the fun begins.